Wednesday, 28 August 2013

Oil hits 6-month high, world shares fall on anticipated Middle East upheaval

A scramble for safety sent MSCI's world equity index to a seven week low

Concerns that probable military strikes by Western powers against Syria could cause upheaval in the Middle East pushed oil up by over $2 a barrel on Wednesday, sent world shares lower for a second day and extended a rout in emerging markets.

Washington and its allies appeared to be gearing up for a strike against President Bashar al-Assad's forces, blamed for last week's chemical weapons attacks, a move which could prompt retaliatory action and hit crude supply in the region.

Brent crude traded above $117 at a six-month high and the US benchmark soared to its highest level in over two years.

A scramble for safety sent MSCI's world equity index to a seven week low led by a sharp selloff on Wall Street, while the safe-haven yen hit a two-week high against the dollar.

Emerging markets such as Syria's neighbour Turkey, pummelled by an expected reduction in US stimulus measures, were also hit, with some flows providing support in western Europe.

"The market feels an attack on Syria is highly probable but what they're concerned about is the retaliation," said Mike Gallagher, managing director of IDEAglobal.

In the Middle East, Dubai's stock index tumbled 5.2% after already plunging 7.0% on Tuesday, leaving it at a six-week low. It is still up 49% this year.

"We could see a wider spillover into the region which could easily push oil prices up, at least temporarily, to $120 or $125 a barrel," Gallagher said.

The heightened Middle East tension has come as markets were already on edge about an expected reduction in stimulus by the US Federal Reserve, which has seen US bond yields climb and triggered a shift by investors away from emerging markets.

Syria's neighbour Turkey has proved vulnerable on both fronts seeing its currency, the lira, hit a record low of 2.07 to the dollar in early trade. The main Istanbul share index was down 1.5%, after tumbling 4.7% on Tuesday to close at its lowest level in a year.

The rout in the emerging world has extended, with the Indian rupee losing 3.7% to hit a new record low of 68.75 to the dollar, while some southeast Asian currencies reached multi-year lows.

Indonesia's rupiah posted a new four-year low as investors wait for a hastily-convened Bank Indonesia (BI) board meeting set for Thursday. Speculation is mounting it will opt for another rate hike to defend the currency.

The selloff brought MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan down 1.7% to its lowest level since July 9, extending the previous day's 1.2% drop.

In Europe, the picture was steadier after a recent run of good economic data added to the region's appeal. The single currency had inched up 0.1% versus the yen to about 130.03 yen and was little changed against the dollar at $1.3380.

The flight to quality lifted German government bonds, sending the 10-year Bund yield down 3 basis points to 1.824% as it moves further away from Friday's 1-1/2 year highs of 1.98%.

However, European stocks were down for a third day as the concerns about a reduction in bond buying by the Fed, and a political crisis in Italy add tot he worries over military action fuelled profit taking on an 8% rally seen since late June.

The FTSEurofirst 300 index of top European shares was down 0.3% at 1,198.43 points in early trade after recording its largest daily drop in two months on Tuesday.

"The focus on Syria and the spike in oil prices was all that was needed to start the move (down)," said Nick Xanders, head of strategy at BTIG, who saw room for the market to fall further.

Gold shared in the safe haven buying, extending its gains into a fifth straight session and climbing over 1% to its highest in more than three months.

Spot gold traded around $1,425 an ounce having hit a high of $1,433.31, its highest since May 14. Silver was up 2.3% to $25.02 an ounce.

"We may be seeing a new trading paradigm setting in the next few days, one whereby investors sour on stocks and file back into commodities, with oil and gold likely being the two favourites in the group," INTL FCStone analyst Edward Meir wrote in a note.

Videocon Group’s telecom arm plans to launch 4G services

Videocon Telecommunications, part of the diversified $4 billion Videocon Group, is reportedly planning to launch fourth generation (4G) services by August next year. Further the company is in talks with Nokia Siemens Networks (NSN) for infrastructure. The company has a Unified Licence to provide all kind of services including 3G and 4G.

In November 2012, the company has won spectrum in six telecom circles- Bihar, Gujarat, Haryana, Madhya Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh East and West. This new service will be launched in all this circles. The 4G technology is based on FDD LTE, which enables operator(s) to gain more efficiency using the same spectrum resources.

Videocon Industries, established two decades ago, is a global conglomerate. Videocon’s businesses consist of manufacturing, marketing and distribution of consumer electronics products and oil & gas extraction.

Essar Projects bags Rs 700 crore worth order from BPCL

Essar Projects (EPL), part of Essar Group, has bagged Rs 700 crore worth engineering, procurement, construction and commissioning (EPCC) order from the public sector Bharat Petroleum Corporation (BPCL).

The order is for the Coke Drum Structure Package (CDSP) of the Delayed Coker Unit (DCU), which is being taken up under the Integrated Refinery Expansion Project of BPCL's Kochi Refinery. The scope of work includes project management, residual process design, detailed engineering, procurement, fabrication, construction, commissioning, and performance testing of the CDSP of the DCU.

BPCL is in the process of expanding its Kochi Refinery from 9.5 to 15.5 MMTPA. Further, Engineers India (EIL) has been appointed as Project Management Consultant (PMC) for the project.

Essar Steel, the group’s flagship company of Essar Group, which is a global corporation with investments in the sectors of steel, energy (oil & gas and power), infrastructure (ports, projects & concessions) and services (shipping, telecom, realty and outsourcing and technology solutions).

Man Industries bags orders worth Rs 525 crore

Man Industries (India), one of the leading pipe manufacturing company has received new orders worth approximately Rs. 525 crore from Domestic and Middle East customers for supply of large diameter pipes for Oil and Gas sector. With these new orders the Company's outstanding order book stands at approximately Rs 1025 crores. The orders are to be executed over a period of next 6 to 9 months.

In addition to the above confirmed orders the Company has outstanding bids over Rs 5000 crore at various stages of evaluation for several other Oil, Gas and Water projects in India and abroad.

ITC board approves demerger of 2 Wimco units

The board of directors of ITC Ltd at its meeting today approved the demerger of the non-engineering business of subsidiary Wimco Ltd and the related scheme of arrangement.

The non-engineering business comprises safety matches and agri (forestry) businesses. ITC will merge these units with itself.

The scheme, which is subject to approvals as necessary, will take effect from April 1, 2013, the company said in a filing to the BSE.

Upon it becoming effective, the members of Wimco Ltd will be entitled to two ordinary shares of Re 1 each of ITC for every 77 equity shares of Re 1 each of Wimco Ltd held by them on such date as may be determined, the filing said.

Apart from the agri and matches businesses, Wimco has interests in manufacturing packaging machinery.


Recovery on the street; indices remain in red

Some positive buying is seen in IT, tech, FMCG and metal sectors, while PSU, oil & gas, realty, banking and capital goods sectors are showing some weakness

At 1:09 PM (IST), S&P BSE Sensex is 95 points down at 17,872, while 50-share Nifty is 43 points down at 5,243.

BSE Mid-cap is 88 points down at 5,189, whereas BSE Small-cap is 71 points down at 5,128.

Some positive buying is seen in IT, tech, FMCG and metal sectors on BSE, while PSU, oil & gas, realty, banking, capital goods and consumer durables sectors are showing some weakness.

TCS, Wipro, Jindal Steel, ITC, Infosys, Tata Power, Tata Steel and Hindalco are up on BSE, whereas ONGC, HDFC, Coal India, Gail, Bharti Airtel, Maruti Suzuki and M&M are showing some weakness.

The rupee has hit new record low at 68.70 against the US dollar. The Indian currency has dropped for the third day; Asia's worst currency. The Indian currency is 19.2% down in 2013 and has become the world's worst performing currency in August.

Reliance Industries, which is 1.01% down, has agreed to provide access to all records and cooperate unconditionally with the CAG for audit on investment in KG-D6 gas fields.

Reliance Group Chairman Anil Ambani has reportedly said that his telecom venture, Reliance Communications (RCom), would collaborate with Mukesh Ambani’s Reliance Jio in the coming months. Rcom is 0.98% down.

Rural Electrification Corp is planning to raise Rs50bn through issue of taxfree bonds. The scrip is 1.14% down.

Wipro will enter the National Stock Exchange’s 50-share Nifty index with effect from September 27, while Reliance Infrastructure would exit. Wipro is 2.59% up on BSE.

The National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange slashed transaction charges for members who register an average daily turnover of Rs. 2 billion.

SPML Infra secured new orders worth Rs. 18.02 billion.

Pratibha Industries has bagged a contract worth Rs. 2.31 billion awarded by PHED, Ajmer, Rajasthan. The scrip is 0.8% down on BSE.

Nikkei closed 208 points down at 13,338, while Hang Seng is trading 350 points down at 21,524.

Gold futures hit record high of Rs 34,246 per 10 gm

Continuing its rising streak, gold prices crossed Rs 34,000 per 10 gram level for the first time ever in futures trade today as the rupee tumbled to hit an all-time low of Rs 68.75 amid a firm trend overseas.

On the Multi Commodity Exchange, gold for delivery in October went up by Rs 531 or 1.57 per cent to trade at an all-time high of Rs 34,246 per 10 gram in a business turnover of 1,624 lots.

Similarly, the yellow metal for delivery in far-month December surged by Rs 511 or 1.52 per cent to Rs 34,161 per 10 gm in 505 lots.

Market analysts attributed the rise in gold prices at the futures trade to a sliding rupee which tumbled to a historic low of Rs 68.75, making dollar-quoted precious metal expensive, and pick-up in demand at the spot market for the festive and upcoming marriage season.

Besides, a firm trend in the global market as speculation that the US may lead military strikes against Syria spurred investors’ demand for a safe haven, influenced gold prices at the futures trade here, they said.

In the domestic market, gold prices closed at an all-time high of Rs 32,585 per 10 gram in Mumbai yesterday.

Meanwhile, the yellow metal advanced 0.3 per cent to $1,419.55 an ounce in Singapore.

How to get safe and sound returns

With FIIs rushing to the exit door, equity markets are tumbling and bond markets are gyrating too. But here are some debt options which today offer safety with excellent returns.

Not long ago, interest rates on bank deposits were thought to have peaked and were expected to decline.

Today, it is a different story. The RBI’s recent measures to tighten liquidity have led to a sharp rise in short-term interest rates.

As a result, as many as six banks have raised deposit rates this week. With this, the number of banks that have increased deposit rates since the beginning of this month has moved up to 27.

We sifted through rates offered by banks on deposits across various timeframes and compared these with top-rated corporate/non-banking finance company deposits and post office schemes.

Here are some safe options we arrived at for different investment needs, which would also maximise your returns.

FOR LONG-TERM INVESTORS

Although most banks have been increasing short-term interest rates (i.e. rates for deposits of less than a year) in response to the RBI’s moves, long-term investors too stand to gain from the rate revisions by banks.

While rates for periods less than a year are in the ramge of 6.5-9.25 per cent, recent revisions have seen Karur Vysya Bank (KVB) and Andhra Bank offering 9.5 per cent for one- to two-year deposits. Lakshmi Vilas Bank (LVB) offers 9.5 per cent for one-year deposits. After the revision on August 19, Tamilnad Mercantile Bank offers an interest rate of 9.5 per cent across maturities of twelve months-five years.

Those seeking regular return on investments too, can consider bank deposits over the post office Monthly Income Scheme, which offers only 8.4 per cent interest.

While most banks offer quarterly interest payouts, some offer monthly payouts, too.

FOR SENIOR CITIZENS

With most banks offering an additional 25-75 basis points on deposits by senior citizens, those above 60 years of age can now earn double-digit returns.

Andhra Bank (one to two year deposits) and LVB (one year deposit) for instance, now offer 10 per cent interest to senior citizens.

Seniors who don’t have taxable income and are particular about regular inflows can choose deposit options that offer more than the 9.2 per cent given by the Senior Citizens Savings Scheme (SCSS).

Like the SCSS, all banks today offer quarterly interest pay-outs.

Several banks such as Bank of India, IDBI Bank, Indian Bank, Indian Overseas Bank, Axis Bank, YES Bank, Karnataka Bank and Dhanlaxmi Bank offer 9.5 per cent on five-year deposits for senior citizens. You can invest in these or lock into deposits which offer higher rates than the SCSS for durations shorter than five years.

Deposits in all commercial banks are protected by the Deposit Insurance and Credit Guarantee Corporation.

In case a bank fails, each depositor is insured up to Rs 1 lakh for both principal and interest put together. This makes bank deposits a safe investment option.

But do note that investments in post-office schemes up to any amount are risk-free as it is backed by the Government.

FOR HIGHER RISK-TAKERS

Unlike bank deposits, corporate and other finance company deposits are not covered by insurance.

Hence these are considered more risky. Nevertheless, we consider only deposits with the highest AAA rating by various rating agencies.

Instruments with AAA rating are considered to have the highest degree of safety regarding timely servicing of financial obligations. They carry the lowest credit risk.

While many AAA deposits such as from Gruh Finance, LIC Housing Finance, Sundaram Finance and HDFC are open currently, only deposits of M&M Financial Services (cumulative) offer higher interest than banks in the two- to five-year time period. Others offer rates in the range of 8.75-9.5 per cent.

In this context, deposits from M&M Financial, a subsidiary of M&M, offer an attractive option at 10 per cent (two years), 10.25 (three years) and 9.75 per cent (four and five years).

It also has an offer for 18 months at 9.75 per cent, unmatched by any bank special deposits.

For those looking for regular payouts, the two- and three-year offers are attractive at differential rates of 9.75 and 10 per cent, respectively.

Those with a higher risk appetite can choose to invest in this non-bank deposits.

Senior citizens get additional 0.25 per cent in M&M Financial deposits, making the two- and three-year options (cumulative) and three-year option (non-cumulative) attractive.

Sundaram Finance is the only other non-bank offering 10 per cent returns (two, three years) to seniors, equal to that of banks such as Andhra Bank.

FOR TAX-SAVERS

If you are in the 20 and 30 per cent tax slabs and if tax efficient investment is foremost in your mind, then there is nothing to beat the humble five-year NSC.

Part of the small savings schemes of the post office, investments up to Rs 1 lakh in the NSC are also eligible for tax deduction under Sec 80C.

On first perusal, the 8.5 per cent interest rate on the five-year NSC is unattractive in comparison to rates on tax-saving deposits of banks, the best of which offer 100 basis points more (after recent revisions).

But where the NSC gains an edge is in the fact that only the interest earned in the last/fifth year is subject to tax. The interest of the first four years is assumed to be reinvested each year.

On the other hand, even if you invest in a cumulative deposit, FD interest earned each year is taxable. This pushes down the post-tax yields on FDs vis-à-vis the NSC (see accompanying table).

Therefore, the NSC, with post-tax yields of 13.4 per cent (for 20 per cent tax slab) and 16.4 per cent (for 30 per cent tax slab) is still a better investment option than tax saving bank deposits — whether you choose the highest 9.5 per cent tax-saver deposits of LVB, 9.25 per cent tax-saver deposit by City Union Bank or even 9 per cent tax-saver deposits offered by many others such as Dhanlaxmi Bank, Karnataka Bank and State Bank of Mysore.

Similarly, seniors in the 30 per cent tax bracket will still earn greater post-tax yields if they invest in the NSC, even in comparison with the tax-saver deposits of Axis Bank, which offers one of the highest rates of 9.75 per cent.

CCI clears Infrastructure projects worth Rs 1.83 lakh crore

In order to boost business sentiments in a slowing economy, the Cabinet Committee on Investment (CCI) has cleared infrastructure projects worth Rs 1.83 lakh crore including 18 power projects that were stuck due to delay in clearance. The 18 power projects worth Rs 83,773 crore, which were stuck due to lack of fuel linkages, will sign coal supply agreements with Coal India by September 6.

The banks have already disbursed as much as Rs 30,000 crore for these power sector projects. Besides this, the CCI cleared hurdles for projects like Reliance Power's 4,000 MW ultra mega power project at Sasan in Madhya Pradesh, L&T's Metro Rail project in Hyderabad, Essar Power's Jharkhand project and Hindalco Industries project. The Cabinet Committee on Investment (CCI) has also set a 60- day deadline for ministries to clear various infrastructure projects in the power, coal and highways sectors.

Country’s infrastructure development is crucial to boost the economy’s growth and thus the government has recently set up the Cabinet Committee on Investments (CCI) to clear the bottlenecks holding back mega infrastructure projects. For the 12th Five Year Plan (2012-17), the government has set the $1-trillion investment target for the infrastructure sector. Further, in order to speed up the implementation of infrastructure projects, the government has also set up special cell, special project monitoring group, which is meant to supplement CCI's efforts and has been tasked with monitoring the progress of projects cleared by CCI.

Reliance Capital plans to invest Rs 100 crore in wind energy venture

Reliance Capital, one of India’s leading & amongst the most valuable financial services companies in the private sector is planning to invest Rs 100 crore in a wind energy joint venture (JV) in the country, partnering with China's Ming Yang Wind Power Group. Last year on July 2, 2013 the company had entered into definitive agreements with Ming Yang Wind Power Group, a leading wind turbine manufacturer in China, through Ming Yang Holdings (Singapore), its Singapore subsidiary.

Under the agreements, Ming Yang Singapore plans to establish a joint venture (JV) with Reliance Capital by subscribing to a significant stake in the share capital of Global Wind Power (GWPL), a leading wind power solutions provider in India, in which Reliance Capital and related entities are currently the largest shareholders. This agreement would be closed soon and an investment of Rs 100 crore would be made through the joint venture.

Reliance Capital is part of Reliance Capital, one of India’s largest financial services companies with over 20 million customers. The company is the only AMC in India to have been chosen to manage both public funds sponsored by the Indian government - the Provident Fund and Pension Fund.