Monday, 28 October 2013

BSE Sensex falls 113 points; banks, FMCG shares drag


At 2.25 p.m., the 30-share BSE index Sensex was down 87.27 points (0.42 per cent) at 20,596.25 and the 50-share NSE index Nifty was down 39.1 points (0.64 per cent) at 6,105.75.

On the BSE, consumer durables, capital goods and oil & gas indices remained investors' favourite ahead of expiry of F&O contracts this week and were up 1.58 per cent, 0.96 per cent and 0.39 per cent, respectively.

On the other hand, FMCG index fell the most by 2.43 per cent, followed by realty 1.79 per cent, metal 1.5 per cent and bankex 1.18 per cent.

L&T, RIL, HDFC, Bajaj Auto and Maruti were the top five Sensex gainers, while the top five losers were ITC, SSLT, Tata Steel, SBI and Hindalco.

Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) bought shares worth Rs 626.99 crore last Friday as per provisional data from the stock exchanges.

Most European shares were up as investors awaited US data on industrial production and housing for signs of the health of the world’s largest economy.

Stoxx 50 was down 4.46 points or 0.15 per cent at 3,034.50, FTSE 100 was up 8.16 points or 0.12 per cent at 6,721.34 and DAX was up 5.11 points or 0.06 per cent at 8,985.74.

Asian shares were up after weaker-than-estimated US consumer confidence spurred bets that the Federal Reserve will maintain the stimulus.

In the Asian trade, Japan's Nikkei surged 307.85 points or 2.19 per cent to 14,396, Hong Kong's Hang Seng rose 131.38 points or 0.58 per cent to 22,829.70 and Australia's S&P/ASX 200 climbed 55.06 points or 1.02 per cent to 5,441.41.

The US Fed is expected to continue its $85 billion-a-month stimulus package since signs of a rebound in the economy are not clear. It will also look into the US Government shutdown early this month and how it has affected the economy

The BSE Sensex fell on Monday for a fifth consecutive session to mark its lowest close in nearly 1-1/2 weeks, as lenders and other interest rate-sensitive shares declined ahead of the central bank's monetary policy review on Tuesday.

State Bank of India Ltd fell 2.65 percent, while DLF Ltd  ended 3.33 percent lower.
The benchmark BSE Sensex fell 0.55 percent, falling for a fifth straight session after hitting a string of near-three year highs last week.
The broader Nifty lost 0.71 percent.



Govt clears 13 FDI proposals worth Rs 1,258 cr

FIPB also deferred decision on 8 FDI applications while two were rejected

Government today said it has cleared 13 FDI proposals totalling Rs 1,258 crore and referred Axis Bank's proposal for increasing foreign equity amounting to about Rs 6,266 crore for consideration of the Cabinet.

The Foreign Investment Promotion Board (FIPB), in its September 19 meeting, had also deferred decision on 8 FDI applications while two were rejected, it said.

"Based on the recommendations of Foreign Investment Promotion Board (FIPB)...Government has approved 13 Proposals of foreign direct investment amounting to Rs 1258.53 crore approximately," the Finance Ministry said.

It further said the proposal of private sector lender Axis Bank, amounting to Rs 6,265.76 crore has been recommended for consideration of Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs as the investment involved in the application is above Rs 1,200 crore.

The bank had sought FIPB's nod to increase the foreign equity from the existing 49 per cent to 62 per cent.

Among major proposals which have been approved include that of Shantha Biotechnics (Rs 755 crore), Equitas Holdings (Rs 222.8 crore) and Stork Titanium (Rs 156 crore).

Shantha Biotechnics has been given permission to buy out the shares held by NRIs and Indian residents and to infuse fresh equity investment.

Proposals on which decision was deferred include Jubilant Aeronatics, Soma Tollways, M D Shajahan Bablu, Bangladesh, and Green Destinations Holdings, Mauritius.

The Ministry also said that decisions on five proposals have been kept in abeyance.

During the April-August period of 2013-14 fiscal, FDI inflows into the country stood at USD 8.46 billion, up 4 per cent from USD 8.16 billion in the year ago period.

Dabur India Q2 net up 23.4% at Rs 250 cr

Net sales rise 14.85% to Rs 1,749 crore

Dabur India today reported 23.40% increase in consolidated net profit at Rs 250 crore for the second quarter ended September 30, 2013-14, on account of strong performance in the FMCG segment.

The company reported net profit of Rs 202 crore in the corresponding quarter of last fiscal, 2012-13.

Dabur's Q2, 2013-14 net sales went up by 14.85% to Rs 1,749 crore, compared to Rs 1,523 crore in the year-ago period.

Dabur's consumer care business increased by 18.33% at Rs 1,495 crore, while foods business grew by 15.71% to Rs 203 crore.

"Strong demand from the hinterland following the mega initiative to double our rural distribution footprint helped Dabur India Ltd sail through a challenging business environment and moderation in consumption expenditure," the company said in a statement.

Retail business was up 17.36% at Rs 16.56 crore while other businesses declined by 51% to Rs 33.37 crore.

Dabur India CEO Sunil Duggal said: "The rising cost pressures were managed through a mix of judicious price increases and improved buying efficiencies. We are seeing demand from rural India out pacing the urban markets."

On the overall expenses front, Dabur reported 12.55% jump at Rs 1,448.56 crore in the quarter ended September 30 this year as against Rs 1,287 crore in corresponding quarter last year.

International business ended the second quarter with 25.8% growth, led by Middle East & North Africa (MENA) markets and Bangladesh.

Dabur's stock was trading at Rs 178.40 on the BSE in the afternoon trade, down 2.27%.

Liquidity key for relevance of repo rate. But will Raghuram Rajan oblige?

It is widely expected that the central bank will restore the 100 bps corridor between the repo and the MSF rate on tuesday

In the last monetary policy review on September 20,, Reserve Bank of India (RBI) governor Raghuram Rajan -- which was his first policy announcement --   promised that he will take steps to bring the money market condition to normalcy where the repo rate becomes the operational rate once again.

He showed intention to keep his words as the central bank reduced the marginal standing facility rate further in October (after cutting in September policy review)  and opened another liquidity window.

Now, it is widely expected that the central bank will restore the 100 bps corridor between the repo and the MSF rate in tomorrow's second quarter review of monetary policy.

The corridor could be restored by a few ways, but the street feels hiking repo rate by 25 bps to 7.75% and simultaneously cutting MSF rate by the same magnitude to 8.75% is the most probable outcome. The other option is to cut the MSF rate by 50 bps. The later is ruled out on the ground that headline inflation is picking up which may call for a hike in the key policy rate.

Earlier this year, on July 15, RBI unleashed an array of measures -- including hike in the MSF rate by 200 bps to 10.25 % and simultaneously capping bank borrowing from liquidity adjustment facility window. These moves were meant to make short term money dearer so that it is not used for speculative purposes which were exerting pressure on the exchange rate.

Once, these measures, along with steps to encourage inflows started showing favorable impact on the exchange rate, it was time to return to normalcy.

According to  market participants, making liquidity available to banks to key for aligning short term rates to the repo rate. Merely restoring the repo-MSF corridor will not make the repo rate -- the key policy rate operational once again.

At the same time, the street is aware that Rajan will not allow any  any sharp fall in interest rate to dilute hawkish stance on inflation.

“The restriction on LAF borrowing which is 0.5% of NDTL should continue. Instead RBI should increased the 0.25% of the NDTL borrowing under 7-14 term repo to 0.5% NDTL. When that is done the total liquidity that the banking system can get between LAF and 7-14 day repo is about Rs 80,000 crore. If liquidity deficit in the system is Rs 80,000 crore or below, then MSF ceases to be an operative rate. This will help to find a rate which is in between repo and MSF rate. The near-term short-term rates will find a level somewhere in between the repo and MSF corridor. This will also suit the current compulsions of monetary policy. This way the rate will not go to 7.5% which is too low considering the inflation. The rate will also not go to 9% because that will be too high given the growth constraints. The rate will be kept in between,” said Mohan Shenoi, president - group treasury and global markets, Kotak Mahindra Bank.

At present, banks can borrow 0.5% of their net demand and time liabilities from the LAF window as compared to no restriction of the pre-July 15 regime. The market is debating if the cap will be raised to 0.75% or 1% and few are expecting a complete removal of the ceiling.

“If RBI goes for a 1% of NDTL cap for repo borrowing, a large part of funding will be done through repo, and any requirement above that will go to MSF window. If not 1% then probably then can go for 0.75% of NDTL cap for banks. My suspicion is that RBI may go for 1% of NDTL cap because that is a reasonable signal that the exchange rate market is in control now. This will also be a signal to the financial market to go back to normal days. The decision to increase the repo rate by RBI will be based on their judgment of inflation-growth dynamics. If the cap of repo borrowing is increased from 0.50% of NDTL to either 0.75% or 1% of NDTL, then it will also help to narrow the gap between repo rate and short-term rates,” said Hitendra Dave, managing director, head of global markets, India at Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation (HSBC).

Relaxo Footwears Q2 Net up 13.4%

The company had reported a net profit of Rs 10.28 crore in the July-September quarter of last fiscal

Footwear firm Relaxo Footwears Ltd today reported 13.42% increase in net profit at Rs 11.66 crore for its second quarter ended September 30.

The company had reported a net profit of Rs 10.28 crore in the July-September quarter of last fiscal.

Relaxo Footwear's net sales stood at Rs 263.35 crore during second quarter of 2013-14, up 8.71%, compared to Rs 242.23 crore in the same period last fiscal, the company said in a BSE filing.

Citing economic slowdown as the reason for decline in sales, the company said, "Due to slowdown in economic conditions, revenue growth has been hampered. Moreover, this period is always under pressure due to lean season in footwear demand."

Overall expenses during the quarter under review were at Rs 244.78 crore, an increase of 9.03%, compared to Rs 224.5 crore in the same period last year.

The company said it is working on rationalisation of non-performing retail shoppes by either closing or dislocating.

Shares of the Relaxo Footwears were trading at Rs 886 per scrip in the afternoon trade, down 2.44% from its previous close on the BSE. 

Stressed broking industry seeing a shake-up

Almost 500 stock brokers have shut shop so far this year

In 2010, Ritesh Shah (name changed), just out of a Mumbai college, decided to test his luck in the stock-broking business. The timing looked perfect: The market had rebounded after one of its most turbulent phases, as the crisis sparked by a global economic slowdown since January 2008 seemed to have ebbed.

Shah, a commerce graduate, believing that to be the best time to start a business, went about expanding operations across of the country. Now, three years later, he has decided to get out of broking operations. “Broking was just not working out. There’s no money in it,” he says.

Shah is not lone man in the club. He has the company of many who have been forced to shut stock-broking business, mainly retail, as subdued volumes and a shift in trading activity to low-margin products has made the business unviable.

On an average, three brokers have called it quits each day since the financial year that started April 1. A total of 487 brokers have shut shop in 2013-14 so far, according to the latest data available from the Securities and Exchange Board of India. The debate about consolidation in the broking business has resurfaced, with even bigger players like HSBC India announcing shutdown of their retail broking businesses. The bigger surprise was the news report that India Infoline, which runs one of the largest retail broking operations, was effecting a major scale-down of its retail operations. This highlighted the stress among players.

In response to a request for comment from Business Standard, India Infoline said it would shift focus away from retail to higher-value clients, while it declined to comment on how much retail operations might be scaled down.

“It has become a high-cost and low-margin business,” says Motilal Oswal Financial Services Chairman & Managing Director Motilal Oswal. “As a result, there is some consolidation happening in the industry. It is difficult for players, unless there’s a clearly differentiated offering in terms of good research or some other such selling point,” he said.



Declining volumes in the cash segment, coupled with increased trading in low-margin options, have been some of the key reasons for brokers’ woes. Since January 2011, the average monthly volumes in the cash segment have been Rs 13,000-13,500 crore, against Rs 19,000 crore in 2010, as retail investors, in absence of visible returns, have retreated from equities and moved to fixed deposits and real estate.

While overall volumes have been on the rise, derivative trades have accounted for an increasing proportion of the turnover. The options trading accounted for 76 per cent of the overall market volume in 2012-13. Derivatives have accounted for 93.5 per cent share of the overall volumes so far this year.

“The addressable revenue pool for brokers is on the decline, especially due to a shift towards low-yield options segment,” says India Infoline Managing Director R Venkataraman.

Among the brokers who have exited operations so far this year, 591 have been from the cash segment, according to Sebi figures (which appear with a lag). There were 104 additions in the equity derivates segment, according to the data up to August. The net number of brokers for equities is down 487. The total number of brokers has fallen below the 18,000 mark, to 17,711.

“It is not just the smaller brokers; the larger ones are also ending their operations. This clearly shows the fundamental problem that there is scant commercial gain to be made in broking,: says Alok Churiwala, vice-chairman of the BSE Brokers’ Forum. “The lay investor has not found the market attractive for the past five years. For whatever little business there is, it’s a dog-eat-dog situation, with a tremendous amount of undercutting,” he adds.

Churiwala says the decline in the number of brokers has an impact on growth of equity markets across the country.

“This is a cause for great concern, not only for the broking industry but for the nation. We have a population of 1.2 billion, but less than 20 million investors. The number of brokers should be growing,” he says.

Various analyses show the outlook appears bleak for most in the industry. Rating agency Icra estimates a decline of Rs 400-500 crore in the revenue pool for 13 prominent brokers this financial year. Its October ‘Indian Brokerage Industry’ report pegged their total revenues at Rs 8,500 crore to Rs 9,000 crore for the whole year — less than IT giant Infosys’ revenue for a single quarter.

Against this backdrop, it does not come as a surprise that most players — from Ritesh Shah to India Infoline — are looking to the financing business for revenues. Shah is also advising small companies in their attempts to raise capital — debt or equity.

SEBI looking at allowing cos to raise funds via convertible bonds

As the IPO market still remains tepid forcing companies to borrow costly funds from other sources, capital markets regulator SEBI today said it is looking at allowing them to issue convertible debentures to raise money.

“The Primary Market Advisory Committee of SEBI is currently debating an alternative route to allow corporates to issue convertibles (debentures), which after certain time must be converted into either equity or other debt instruments,” SEBI Chairman, U.K. Sinha, told reporters on the investor protection in capital markets here.

The IPO market has been going through difficult times for quite some time and there were very few IPOs that raised money in the current fiscal.

While it has been difficult for companies to raise money through IPOs, by and large, investors have also not benefited by investing in the stock markets.

Sinha pointed out that nearly two-thirds of IPOs floated during the last three years are quoting below their issue price.

At this stage SEBI has not been able to finalise the stand whether safety net should be introduced or not, he said.

The proposed ‘safety net’ mechanism for investors has generated strong opposition from various stakeholders. SEBI will consider these views thoroughly, Sinha said.

“People are saying equities are risk instruments, so, why provide safety. But our current regulations do provide for voluntary safety net,” he added.

Under the proposed safety net scheme, if the market value of the shares falls below the issue price at any time during first six months of the listing, promoters will have to buyback shares at the sale price from original allottees.

However, the buyback is proposed to be subject to a maximum of 1,000 equity shares per allottee.

SEBI, in September 2012, had floated a discussion paper on ‘safety net’ and collected feedback on it from the market.

Sebi seeks tax incentives for REITs

Sinha says will talk to I-T dept regarding the issue

Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) will ask tax authorities to consider incentives for real estate investment trusts, Sebi Chairman U K Sinha said on Monday.

"For REITs to be successful, they have to be tax efficient. There's no question about it," he told reporters on the sidelines of a conference.

"We'll talk to the I-T department to make it happen," he added, referring to the income tax department. Sinha did not provide more details.

The capital markets regulator had issued draft guidelines for launching real estate investment trusts (REITs) in India earlier this month. Investors have said the success of these investments would likely depend to a large extent on the tax incentives provided.

REITs are tax-efficient listed entities that mainly invest in income producing real estate assets from which most of the earnings are distributed to their shareholders.

Bharti Infratel net profit rises 12% to Rs 277 crore

Bharti Airtel’s tower business unit Bharti Infratel today reported a 12 per cent jump in its net profit at Rs 277 crore for the quarter ended September 30, 2013, on the back of incremental gains from increased sharing of infrastructure.

The company had reported a net profit of Rs 248 crore in the corresponding period last fiscal, the company said in a statement.

Revenue of the tower firm also rose 5 per cent to Rs 2,684 crore for the reported period as compared to Rs 2,556 crore for the same period last year, it added.

“With regulatory environment in telecom sector showing signs of stabilising and data revenues witnessing strong growth, the operators have started focusing on faster roll out of 3G networks. We expect this momentum to increase in coming quarters,” Bharti Infratel Vice Chairman and MD Akhil Gupta said.

He added the company’s business model remains robust and demonstrates significant incremental financial gains from increased sharing of its infrastructure.

The total tower base of the company stood at 82,476 as on September 30, 2013, while the average sharing factor increased to 1.93 from 1.91 in the same period last year.

Markets pare gains as FMCG heavyweights slip

Weakness in FMCG majors ITC, HUL along with Sesa Sterlite and Tata Steel weigh on the indices

Markets have given-up most of its morning gains and have turned flat with a negative bias. The ones weighing on the indices were FMCG majors ITC and HUL along with Sesa Sterlite and Tata Steel.

At 1245 hrs, the Sensex was down nine points at 20,674 and the Nifty gave off 12 points to trade at 6,132.

In the broader markets, the midcap index was down 0.4% and the smallcap index dipped.2%, both underperforming the BSE benchmark index which was down 0.05%.

On the sectoral front, FMCG index was down 2% followed by Metal, Realty, Health Care, Teck, Power and PSU indices down 0.4-1.3%.

Meanwhile, Consumer Durables index edged higher by 2% along with Capital Goods and Oil & Gas indices  up 1% each.

Auto index too was up 0.4%.

Among the Sensex-30, the top gainers were L&T, RIL, HDFC, ONGC and Bajaj Auto up 1-2%.

Tata Power, ICICI Bank, Maruti Suzuki, Tata Motors, Hero MotoCorp, Gail India and Wipro up 0.2-1% were the other notable gainers.

On the losing side were ITC down 3% after reporting lower than expected revenue and net profit growth for the second quarter ended September 2013 (Q2).

Tata Steel, Sesa Sterlite, Coal India and Hindalco down 1-2% were the major losers.

Sun Pharma, Cipla, SBI, Hindustan Unilever, Dr Reddys Lab, Mahindra & Mahindra and Jindal Steel down 0.2-0.8% were some of the other Sensex stocks in red.

The market breadth was negative. 1182 stocks declined while 921 stocks advanced on the BSE.

Global Markets

Asian stocks rose on Monday with Australia scaling a five-year peak after a record high finish on Wall Street helped offset worries about tighter credit in China, while investors gave the safe-haven yen a wide berth.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 0.8%, recovering a chunk of last week's 1.1% loss -- the biggest in two months -- that was driven by concerns that China may tighten monetary policy to keep prices under control.

Japan's Nikkei climbed 2.2%, clawing back most of Friday's 2.7% drop.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng lagged, adding a modest 0.6%, and mainland Chinese stocks were flat, highlighting underlying concerns about China's attempts to cool consumer inflation and runaway property prices.