Friday, 3 July 2015

BP to Pay $18.7 Billion for Deepwater Horizon Oil Spill

File Photo: Response crews battle the blazing remnants of the offshore oil rig Deepwater Horizon in April 21, 2010

 An $18.7 billion settlement announced Thursday of all federal, state and local claims against the oil giant BP arising from the 2010 Gulf of Mexico oil spill would be the largest environmental settlement - and the largest civil settlement with any single entity - in the nation's history, officials said Thursday.

The settlement, if approved by a federal judge, could bring to a close the largest unresolved legal dispute arising from the April 2010 explosion aboard the Deepwater Horizon oil rig, which left 11 dead and spewed millions of gallons of oil into the Gulf of Mexico.

The deal would include, in addition to the federal government, the states of Alabama, Florida, Louisiana, Mississippi and Texas, as well as more than 400 local government entities along the coast, which had argued that the spill had ruined tourist seasons, crippled the seafood industry and dried up sales tax revenue.

Under the agreement, BP would pay the federal government a civil penalty of $5.5 billion under the Clean Water Act over a 15 year time frame, and would pay $7.1 billion under the Natural Resource Damage Assessment to the gulf, which is meant to compensate for direct environmental harm caused by the spill.

A further $5 billion of the settlement - in addition to $1 billion for local government claims - would arise from economic damage claims made by the states. But those claims are only a part of what the states would be getting.

The settlement still must be approved by U.S. District Judge Carl J. Barbier in New Orleans, who oversaw a complex two year civil trial concerning the spill.

BP already agreed, in 2012, to pay $4 billion in criminal fines.

In announcing the federal government's part of the deal in Washington, Loretta Lynch, the attorney general, said that the recent round of negotiations, over several weeks, had produced an agreement in principle that would " justly and comprehensively address outstanding federal and state claims" and "bring lasting benefits to the Gulf region for generations to come."

Robert W. Dudley, BP's group chief executive, called the agreement "a realistic outcome which provides clarity and certainty for all parties."

In separate news conferences across the gulf, governors and attorneys general highlighted the portions of the settlement that their states were likely to receive. They vary from state to state, with Texas estimating a final total of about $800 million, and Louisiana, which was most heavily damaged by the spill, projecting more than $6.8 billion.

In 2012, Congress passed the Restore Act, which redirects 80 percent of Clean Water Act penalties - previously deposited into the federal Treasury - to the affected states. With this money and the natural resources damage payments, which also go to the gulf, the settlement is a windfall for the states, even if it is paid out piecemeal.

Negotiators tried without success in the past to reach a settlement, though they came close more than once. One failed round of negotiations, on the eve of the trial in 2013, would have produced a total amount not much less than what was announced on Tuesday, said David M. Uhlmann, a professor at the University of Michigan Law School and a former federal prosecutor of environmental crimes. But the exact mix of money within that deal was different; for instance, state and local economic damages were not a part of it.

"The problem then was that Louisiana and to a lesser extent Alabama had unrealistic expectations for how much they should receive," he said, adding that in the years since "the states became much more realistic."

The findings at trial put pressure on BP, as did the downturn in global oil prices. But the oil price drop also brought pressure on Louisiana, which, like Alabama, had been already facing severe budget crunches.

Garret Graves, a member of Congress from Louisiana who served as the state's top coastal restoration official and represented the state in prior negotiations with BP, said he could not comment in detail on the negotiations. But he insisted that much had changed since the initial talks.

"Some of the earlier discussions with BP reminded me of the circuslike, disconnected response to the spill itself," he said. The intervening years brought "significant changes within BP's command and control," allowing for the new agreement.

With this deal, BP gets valuable certainty, especially as it does not include any clause that could reopen litigation. The extended payment schedule also allows it to absorb the pain in manageable doses.

And because they will receive billions in economic damage claims, money coming through the Restore Act and the natural resources damages process - far more than they would have obtained in litigation - the states, Uhlmann said, "made out like bandits."

Environmental groups had a mixed reaction to the announcement, with some welcoming it as overdue, others condemning it as too little and still others expressing a cautious optimism.

Bethany Kraft, director of the Gulf Restoration Program at Ocean Conservancy, welcomed the news of the settlement, but emphasized that this was only the beginning of the work. She highlighted $232 million set aside under the settlement that, combined with interest from other payments, is meant to address any natural resources damages that are discovered after the settlement is in effect. Such money she described as critical but possibly insufficient, as some environmental damage from the spill may not be understood for decades.

"Let's put it this way: I'm still going to come into work tomorrow," Kraft said. "I think it's still critically important for all of us to pay attention to how this money is spent."

On the state level, the different sources of money come with different strings attached. Money paid in economic damages would primarily go into state coffers, while the natural resources damages payments must be spent on environmental restoration. The Clean Water Act penalties would mostly be divided up among the states and a gulfwide council under a formula laid out in the Restore Act, which directs that the funds be spent on the "ecological and economic restoration" of the gulf.

BP already made a $1 billion down payment to states for early restoration projects, some of which was directed toward controversial projects like a hotel in Alabama. But for the most part, the money has been seen as critical to addressing long-standing environmental problems.

Much of the settlement money in Louisiana will go to environmental protection and restoration along the state's ravaged and rapidly disappearing coast. The state has spent years developing a master plan for addressing environmental damage and the wetlands loss that long preceded the BP spill. The $50 billion plan, with some projects already underway or completed, calls for extensive levee construction and for beefing up barrier islands and restoring portions of the state's vanishing wetlands in order to provide a greater degree of natural protection from hurricanes.

This proposed agreement would end federal and state involvement in a three-phase trial that began more than two years ago in one of the most complex and closely watched civil cases in U.S. history. Over the course of the trial, which took place in New Orleans, the Justice Department argued that the company should pay the maximum federal penalty of $13.7 billion, or $4,300 for every barrel spilled, under the Clean Water Act in cases of gross negligence.

On Thursday, BP set the ultimate cost associated with the spill at nearly $54 billion, though there are still some unknowable expenses to come. While the settlement clears away most of the liability exposure that BP faces, it does not eliminate some shareholder claims or private claims from thousands of individuals and businesses whose efforts in court will continue. BP has settled hundreds of thousands of such claims since the spill.

Testimony in the two-year civil trial ended in February, and on Monday, the Supreme Court declined to hear an appeal of Barbier's liability determination of BP and Anadarko, the co-owners of the Deepwater Horizon well.

And the settlement, as some pointed out, is not yet set in stone.

"I knew nothing about it," said Tony Kennon, the mayor of Orange Beach, Alabama, a tourist town that was devastated during the summer of the spill, and which has sued BP for $50 million. Kennon insisted that the lawsuit was not over as far his town was concerned and that he now expected to seek more in damages.

However, he also expected a nice Fourth of July weekend.

"If the weather's pretty," he said, "we will break all records."

RBI announces Revised Methodology for Overnight MIBID/MIBOR from July 22, 2015

The FBIL-Overnight MIBOR will be based on actual traded rates and will be administered by a new company called the Financial Benchmarks India Private Ltd (FBIL).


The Reserve Bank of India has stated that the methodology for the FIMMDA-NSE-Overnight Mumbai Interbank Bid/Offer Rate (Overnight MIBID/MIBOR) benchmark in India will be revised with the introduction of the FBIL-Overnight MIBOR on July 22, 2015. 

The FBIL-Overnight MIBOR will be based on actual traded rates and will be administered by a new company called the Financial Benchmarks India Private Ltd (FBIL). The existing benchmark, based on polled rates, is set by the Fixed Income Money Market and Derivative Association of India (FIMMDA) and the National Stock Exchange (NSE).

Financial Benchmarks India Private Ltd (FBIL) has been jointly formed as an independent company for administration of benchmarks in financial markets by FIMMDA, the Foreign Exchange Dealers’ Association of India (FEDAI) and the Indian Banks’ Association (IBA). This follows the recommendations of the Committee on Financial Benchmarks accepted by the Reserve Bank of India in February 2014 (Chairman: Shri P. Vijaya Bhaskar, Executive Director).

Over a period of time, FBIL will also take over the administration of foreign exchange benchmarks and other Indian Rupee interest rate benchmarks in consultation with the stakeholders. FIMMDA and FEDAI who are the current benchmark administrators for the Indian rupee interest rate and foreign exchange benchmarks, respectively, will continue to act as administrators for the Rupee interest rate and foreign exchange benchmarks till they are shifted to FBIL. The Reserve Bank will set up an appropriate oversight mechanism for ensuring that the benchmark determination process and its governance framework remain robust and credible.

Rupee opens at 63.43/$

The local unit hit a low of 63.73 and a high of 63.70 against the US dollar


The rupee today opened at 63.43 against the US dollar. The local unit hit a low of 63.73 and a high of 63.70 against the US dollar.

On Thursday, the rupee ended at 63.51 against the US dollar. Global cues remain subdued. The Dow fell 0.16% while S&P 500 was flat. Nasdaq shed 0.08%. Asian markets are also lower with Nikkei and Hang Seng dropping 0.4% while China's Shanghai index remains under pressure and is down over 5%.

RBI governor Raghuram Rajan said the economy is picking up and signs of capital investment are visible even as there a continuing need of putting some of the stalled projects back on track. We need reforms to ensure that growth is strong and sustainable, Rajan said after a board meeting of the RBI. Meanwhile, Finance Minister Arun Jaitley had said the country needed growth to accelerate to 8-10% from 6-8% levels to pull the country's most disadvantaged sections out of poverty.

SME Wrap: Infosys launches first SME-centric mobile solution for Banks

IT bigwig Infosys has developed the first-ever mobile-based financial software for banks exclusively aimed at the Small and Medium Enterprise (SME) segment.


SME Platform Exposed In An IPO Scam 
 
The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) has successfully exposed a money laundering and tax evasion scam that happened on the Small and Medium Enterprise (SME) trading platform. Consequently, as many as 239 individuals and entities have been expelled from the platform. Alarmed by the sheer magnitude of traded prices and volumes of four SME stocks - ECO Friendly Food Processing Park, Channel Nine Entertainment, Esteem Bio Organic Food Processing and HPC Biosciences - from January 2013 to March 2013, the regulator probe deeper to uncover a well-planned ruse to convert unaccounted money into legitimate one.
 
Infosys launches first SME-centric mobile solution for Banks
 
IT bigwig Infosys has developed the first-ever mobile-based financial software for banks exclusively aimed at the Small and Medium Enterprise (SME) segment. The solution tools allow SMEs to access their bank accounts in real-time as also manage their day-to-day business operations thereby ensuring cost-effective and easy banking in the same breath. Solution features include enterprise setup, automated banking transactions in supply chain, credit management, social connect, integrated alerts/analytical tools for financial management, and expert advice channels.
 
Asscoham forecasts Indian Handicraft Exports at 17,000 Crore In FY 2015-16 
 
An Assocham report contends India's handicraft exports will double to Rs. 17,000 crore from Rs. 9,000 crore during the 2015-16 fiscal year. Thanks to the growing demand from the West, exports would touch Rs. 24,000 crore by FY 2020-21. The industry body feels exporters need to to focus on innovation, design, technology upgradation and financing to make the most of the demand boom. Currently, US imports 28% of India's handicrafts, followed by UAE at 11% and Germany, Latin America and United Kingdom accounting for 5% each.

RIL, Essar Oil may gain from likely price cut in Saudi crudes

Saudi Arabia is reported to be considering a cut in prices of the medium and heavy grades of crude used by complex refiners


RIL4
Reliance Industries and Essar Oil may gain from a likely cut in prices for medium and heavy grades of crude oil sold by Saudi Arabia to Asia, according to media reports.

Saudi Arabia is reported to be considering a cut in prices of the medium and heavy grades of crude used by complex refiners.

"However, as per media reports, we understand crude prices are unlikely to be over $60-65/bbl level over the next 10-12 months," Essar Oil was quoted as saying.

Sun Pharma to optimize manufacturing network

Currently, 25% of Sun’s business comes from the Indian market, adding Rs. 7,000 crore to the total revenue kitty of Rs. 25,000 crore.


Sun Pharma
Following its $3.2billion acquisition of Ranbaxy Labs, Sun Pharma is contemplating a rationalization of its manufacturing network in the merged entity.  With Ranbaxy in its fold, Sun’s staff strength has reached 30,000.  Of the combined manufacturing plants numbering 45, 21 plants belong to Ranbaxy.

It is reliably learnt that many senior Ranbaxy executives have been shown the door in the new scheme of things. In an official statement, Sun has informed that an appropriate role for Ranbaxy’s erstwhile head Arun Sawhney is being explored.  While denying the possibility of further acquisitions, the company has stated that it would definitely look at expanding into emerging markets. Going forward, Ranbaxy will look to strike a balance between domestic and international growth. 

Currently, 25% of Sun’s business comes from the Indian market, adding Rs. 7,000 crore to the total revenue kitty of Rs.25000 crore. Of its 30,000 employees, around 8000-9000 are focused on India. Sun Pharma has also identified statutory compliance as a key focus area. It may be recalled that Ranbaxy is currently facing a US FDA import ban over alleged manufacturing violations. As part of the rationalization hence, the company is investing in training people, enhancing checks and controls and strengthening internal audits.

Top corporate news of the day- July 3, 2015

Arvind Ltd has entered into a licence agreement with the US-based Aeropostale Inc, the speciality retailer of casual and active apparel for young women and men.


Corporate News
Tata Motors-owned luxury carmaker Jaguar Land Rover said it has signed a contract manufacturing agreement with Austrian automotive firm Magna Steyr in another step to enhance its worldwide production line and build global footprint. Jaguar also has announced announced the launch of XF Aero-sport at Rs. 5.2 mn (ex-showroom Mumbai, Pre- Octroi).

Arvind Lifestyle Brands Ltd, a subsidiary of denim and branded apparel major,Arvind Ltd, has entered into a licence agreement with the US-based Aeropostale Inc, the speciality retailer of casual and active apparel for young women and men.

Retail chain V-Mart is gearing up to join the fast growing e-commerce sector by next year with a mobile app-based platform to sell products. It has 108 stores and plans to use its existing outlets as delivery hubs for online customers in the initial stage.

HSIL, has entered into the home appliances segment in association with France-headquartered Groupe Atlantic. HSIL will start selling water heaters manufactured by the French firm through 2,500-odd existing retail partners.

Bharti Airtel said it's ready to launch full mobile number portability (MNP) from tomorrow, which will allow customers to retain their numbers across the country.

The Gujarat State Fertilisers & Chemicals Ltd (GSFC) will invest Rs100bn for setting up four new projects at Dahej near here, a top official said. 

M P Birla Group firm Birla Corporation is looking to ramp up its cement production capacity to 15 million tonnes (MT) in the next four years.

Larsen & Toubro has bagged orders worth Rs18.85bn for power transmission and distribution projects in June.

Jet Airways launched its new website jetairways.com, built around the theme 'designed to delight.

Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB) cut its base rate by 0.10% to 9.75, joining its larger rivals which have announced such downward revisions in the recent past.

Customers of State Bank of India (SBI) will no longer need to have a credit card to earn rewards points. The country's largest bank has decided to give reward points to all its customers for almost every banking transaction done with the bank.

The UK's Food Standards Agency (FSA) has found the Maggi brand of instant noodles imported from India safe to eat, after it conducted tests on samples as a precaution following a ban on the Nestle product in India.

Power Finance Corporation has incorporated two subsidiaries -- Deoghar Infra Ltd and Bihar Infrapower Ltd -- for setting up two ultra mega power projects of 4,000 MW each in Jharkhand and Bihar.

Dollar Dips After Disappointing US Jobs Data

Dollar Dips After Disappointing US Jobs Data

 The dollar slipped in early Asian trading on Friday, as disappointing U.S. employment data and caution ahead of Greece's referendum on bailout conditions kept the market mood subdued.

Against its Japanese counterpart, the dollar was buying 122.84 yen, down about 0.2 per cent on the day but holding well above a five-week low of 121.93 hit on Tuesday.

The euro edged down about 0.1 per cent to 136.31 yen, while gaining about 0.1 per cent against its U.S. counterpart to $1.1096.

U.S. markets will be closed on Friday in observance of Independence Day.

Investors had been hoping that solid improvement in the labour market would reinforce expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will raise interest rates as early as September, but payrolls data was not as robust as many expected.

Employers hired 223,000 workers last month, fewer than the 230,000 increase forecast by economists polled by Reuters. The government also downgraded its reading on April and May job growth.

While the downbeat report gave investors little to cheer about, it was not gloomy enough to compel them to tweak their expectations for the timing of the Fed's tightening.

"We do not think that the report will significantly shift opinion within the Fed about timing of the first rate hike, which we continue to expect in September," strategists at Barclays wrote in a note.

Caution also reigned ahead of Greece's Sunday referendum on an international bailout deal that could ultimately determine whether it stays or not in the euro zone.

The International Monetary Fund warned on Thursday that Greece would need an extension of its European Union loans and a potentially a large debt writeoff if it cannot implement economic reforms and its growth slows.

"Investors will probably look to JPY as a risk-hedge going into the referendum," Steven Englander, global head of G10 FX strategy at Citi, said in a note to clients.

Wall Street Falls on Simmering Greece Worries, Tepid Data

Wall Street Falls on Simmering Greece Worries, Tepid Data

US stocks extended losses on Thursday after the International Monetary Fund warned Greece may need a large debt write-off, and muted U.S. jobs data dampened the economic outlook.

Seven of the 10 major S&P sectors were in the red in late afternoon trading, after a positive opening on the last day of trading before a long weekend.

IMF's warning comes as Greece readies for a Sunday referendum on an international bailout deal that Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras has urged voters to reject.

The fund said that even if Greek policies came back on track, loans made by Europe "will need to be extended significantly" and that the country would need further concessional financing.

"The market seems to be paying more attention to what may happen with Greece as well as whether or not wage growth will pick up," said Omar Aguilar, chief investment officer of equities at Charles Schwab Investment Management in San Francisco.

Average hourly earnings were unchanged in June, taking the year-on-year increase to a paltry 2.0 per cent.

Nonfarm payrolls increased 223,000 last month, below the 230,000 that economists polled by Reuters had expected.

Aguilar added that people were trying to understand how the payroll numbers may affect the timing for when the Federal Reserve makes its first interest rate hike in almost a decade.

The Fed has said it will raise rates only if it sees a sustained economic recovery. An interest rate hike could increase borrowing costs for companies.

The utilities sector was the best performer in the S&P with a 1.2 per cent rise. That sector has been battered with a 10.7 per cent decline so far this year as investors have been anticipating an interest rate hike.

Trading volume remained low ahead of the long weekend as markets will remain closed on Friday in observance the Independence Day holiday.

At 2:58 p.m. the Dow Jones industrial average fell 42.13 points, or 0.24 per cent, to 17,715.78, the S&P 500 lost 2.72 points, or 0.13 per cent, to 2,074.7 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 10.36 points, or 0.21 per cent, to 5,002.77.

BP's U.S.-listed shares rose 5.5 per cent to $41.42 after the company agreed to settle claims from the Gulf of Mexico oil spill for $18.7 billion.

HealthNet rose 9.7 per cent to $71.36 after Centene Corp said it would buy the healthcare management company for $6.3 billion. UnitedHealth Group fell 1.6 per cent, making it the biggest drag on the Dow.

Xoom Corp shares jumped 21.6 per cent to $25.18 the day after PayPal, eBay's payments division, said it would buy the digital money transfer provider. EBay rose 1.7 per cent.

Western Union fell 6.3 per cent to $19.10 after Evercore ISI cut its rating on the stock to "hold" from "buy", citing the Xoom deal.

Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by 1,586 to 1,432, for a 1.11-to-1 ratio on the downside; on the Nasdaq, 1,746 issues fell and 974 advanced for a 1.79-to-1 ratio favouring decliners.

The benchmark S&P 500 index was posting 17 new 52-week highs and 8 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite was recording 45 new highs and 70 new lows.

Asia Shares Subdued as US Data Disappoints, Fret Over Greece, China

Asian stocks were little changed on Friday, with investors reluctant to stake out fresh positions after disappointing U.S. employment data and cautious ahead of Greece's weekend referendum which may decide its future in Europe.

China's increasingly volatile markets may upstage Greek concerns in the session, after that country's securities market regulator said it had opened an investigation into suspected market manipulation after a slump of more than 20 per cent in Chinese stocks since mid-June.

On Thursday, Shanghai's benchmark composite index fell below 4,000 points for the first time since April - a key support level that analysts had expected Beijing to defend.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was slightly lower in early trading, on track for a 0.5 per cent weekly loss, while Japan's Nikkei stock index slipped 0.4 per cent, poised to lose over 1 per cent for the week.

U.S. markets will be closed on Friday in observance of Independence Day. On Wall Street on Thursday, major stock indexes logged losses, after employment data was not as robust as many had expected.

Employers hired 223,000 workers last month, fewer than the 230,000 increase forecast by economists polled by Reuters. The government also downgraded its reading on April and May job growth.

Investors had been hoping that solid improvement in the labour market would reinforce expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will raise interest rates as early as September.

"It is not that market expectations have radically changed. But markets are pushing back their expectations a little bit. Some people who expected a September hike may now see a rate rise in December," said Yoshinori Shigemi, global market strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management.

Asia Shares Subdued as US Data Disappoints, Fret Over Greece, China

U.S. interest rate futures price gained a few ticks following the data, with a hike in December now seen as less certain than before, despite recent comments from Fed officials that interest rates will likely be raised later this year.

The 10-year U.S. Treasuries yield fell to 2.386 per cent from a high of 2.470 per cent hit just before the payroll data.

Caution reigned ahead of Greece's Sunday referendum on an international bailout deal that could ultimately determine whether it stays or not in the euro zone.

The International Monetary Fund warned on Thursday that Greece would need an extension of its European Union loans and a potentially a large debt writeoff if it cannot implement economic reforms and its growth slows.

"Investors will probably look to JPY as a risk-hedge going into the referendum," Steven Englander, global head of G10 FX strategy at Citi, said in a note to clients.

The dollar was buying 123.06 yen, flat on the day and holding well above a five-week low of 121.93 hit on Tuesday.

The euro was also steady on the day at 136.42 yen, and $1.1086.

In commodities trading, U.S. crude fell about 0.6 per cent to $56.60, after data from Baker Hughes showed the number of rigs drilling for oil rose by 12 this week, the first rise since December.

Iron ore prices were under pressure with Shanghai rebar futures hitting record low on Thursday on demand concerns.

That in turn put pressure on the Australian dollar, which stood at $0.7750.

Nifty Likely to Open Lower on Weak Global Cues

 Sensex jumps 30 points to 27,975 and Nifty slips 5 points to 8,440 in the pre-market session.

 Rupee opens higher at 63.42 per dollar against Thursday's close of 63.51.

 Below are the stocks which will be in focus today: 

 Lupin will be in focus today as the company plans to acquire a Russian pharmaceutical manufacturer ZAO Biocom. Biocom has annual sales of $23 million and markets around 38 products in Russia.

ABB, HPCL and IL&FS Engineering All these shares will be in focus today on the back of fund raising plans.

 Tata Motors has launched a new variant of Jaguar XF saloon which is priced at Rs 52 lakh.

 DB Realty to develop 29-storey residential tower in Bandra Kurla Complex, Mumbai.

 Nestle India will be in focus today as the Canadian food regulator finds Maggi safe for consumption.

 Analysts say that today's trading session may witness high volatility as traders would square off their positions ahead of referendum in Greece. Traders will focus on the results of the referendum vote on Sunday.

Meanwhile, Greece's discussions with creditors are on hold until results of the vote are known ECB will review Greece's emergency liquidity assistance cap on Monday.

 The broader markets have been outperforming the benchmark indices since the last three trading sessions. In the last three days the CNX mid-cap index and the Nifty Junior advanced 3.5 per cent each.

 The foreign institutional investors (FIIs) purchased shares worth Rs 575.32 crore while the domestic institutional investors sold shares worth Rs 219.02 crore.

In the derivative segment, FIIs bought index futures worth Rs 361 crore and stock futures worth Rs 551 crore.

 The Indian markets are likely to open on a weak note in trades today tracking weak global cues. The Nifty which is traded on the Singapore Stock Exchange was also trading on a weak note. The SGX Nifty was down 0.3 per cent at 8,405.

Asian stocks were little changed on Friday, with investors reluctant to stake out fresh positions after disappointing U.S. employment data and cautious ahead of Greece's weekend referendum which may decide its future in Europe.

Overnight, the US stocks extended losses on Thursday after the International Monetary Fund warned Greece may need a large debt write-off, and muted U.S. jobs data dampened the economic outlook.