BSE Sensex and Nifty are likely to sharply higher, boosted by a rally in
global markets. The SGX CNX Nifty was up 1.4 per cent to 7,844,
indicating a higher opening for Indian markets.
Here is a 10-Point Cheat-Sheet:
1) Asian markets, including China, were trading sharply higher with
Japan's Nikkei surging nearly 6 per cent. China's benchmark indices were
up nearly 2 per cent.
2) US stocks rose more than 2 per cent overnight amid a China-fuelled
rebound in global equities. Hopes for more stimulus measures from the
Chinese government increased after data on Tuesday showed that China's
imports shrank far more than expected in August, falling for the 10th
straight month.
3) China also said it would remove a tax on dividend incomes for
investors who hold stocks for more than a year in an effort to encourage
longer-term investment. This triggered rebound in China markets
yesterday.
4) Data showing Germany saw imports and exports hit record highs in
value terms in July also helped the global rally in equities.
5) Analysts also said that global markets were in an oversold territory which helped to spur a relief rally.
6) Analysts however are skeptical of the sustainability of gains in
Indian markets in the face of relentless selling from foreign investors.
7) Indian markets are also witnessing an exodus from foreign investors
who sold a record Rs 16,877 crore worth of domestic stocks in August. On
top of that, they sold Indian stocks worth nearly Rs 5,500 crore in the
past six sessions.
8) Domestic institutional investors have been buyers of stocks despite
the selloff from foreign investors, helping to provide some support to
Indian markets. On Tuesday, they bought shares worth nearly Rs 450
crore. Despite Sensex and Nifty losing over 6 per cent in August,
investments into Indian mutual funds surged in August from July,
signalling the continued retail support for equities despite a
deteriorating outlook. Investments into equity mutual funds rose 63 per
cent to Rs 9,625 crore last month from July, marking a 16th consecutive
month of inflows.
9) Indian markets are likely to remain volatile till the crucial US Fed
meet, which is scheduled for September 16-17, say analysts. An interest
rate hike in the US could accelerate the selling from foreign investors
who would like to park their money in US bonds. Besides, a rate hike in
the US would strengthen the dollar, putting further pressure on rupee.
10) Traders are also watching the value of the rupee which affects the
dollar returns of foreign investors. The rupee traded higher at
66.33/dollar against yesterday's close of 66.54.