Wednesday, 5 October 2016

Nifty snaps 3-day winning streak...shuts below 8,750

Indian equities snapped their three-day winning streak; the market was weighed down on profit-booking particularly in IT, banking and technology stocks.

Finally, the BSE Sensex ended today’s trading with a loss of 114 points at 28,221. It opened at 28,426, touched an intra-day high of 28,478 and low of 28,189.

The NSE Nifty closed with a loss of 25 points at 8,743. It opened at 8,806, hit an intra-day high of 8,807 and low of 8,731.

Sentiment was also dampened as Nikkei India Services Business Activity Index eased to 52 in September from 54.7 in August.

Meanwhile, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has raised India's growth forecast a tad, citing the resilience of its economy and robust growth momentum. The IMF now expects the economy to expand 7.6% in 2016-17, up from its earlier projection of 7.4%.

Global economic growth will remain subdued this year following a slowdown in the United States and Britain's vote to leave the European Union, the IMF said in its October 2016 World Economic Outlook yesterday, 4 October 2016. The world economy will expand 3.1% this year, the IMF said, unchanged from its July projection.

Today’s major decline was led by banking, IT, finance, oil & gas, teck, and energy, stocks; while realty, telecom, industrial, FMCG and metal stocks were among the gainers.

The mid-cap and small-cap stocks’ representative indices on the BSE gained by 0.50% and 0.62% respectively, taking a contrary direction to the decline in the large-cap stocks’ representative bellwether indices.

Among the 50 stocks of the Nifty, Tata MotorsDVR, Bharti Infratel, BPCL, UltraTech Cement, Eicher Motors, Hindalco, Tata Motors and Tata Power were among the gainers, whereas ONGC, Axis Bank, Adani Ports, Idea Cellular, Kotak Mahindra Bank and M&M were among the losers today.

The India VIX (Volatility) index was down 0.45% to 14.9250.

Out of 1,406 stocks traded on the NSE, 574 declined and 777 advanced today.

The rupee was trading down by 9 paise at 66.54 per US dollar.

On the global front, Asian stocks traded firm with the Hong Kong’s Hang Seng and Nikkei 225 each advancing 0.5%. Mainland Chinese markets remained closed for the National Day holiday.

European stocks are trading soft as markets digest hawkish comments from US Federal Reserve officials. The CAC 40, DAX and FTSE 100 each have slipped 0.48%.

Sensex, Nifty slip further

Indian shares erased its gains initial gains and were trading marginally lower due to weak Asian cues. The Nifty reclaimed its crucial level of 8,800 supported by gains in realty, power, metal, consumer durable, capital goods, auto, and banks. 

The Nikkei India Services Business Activity Index registered 52 in September, down from August’s 43 month high of 54.7, the latest reading pointed to a slower rate of expansion that was moderate overall.   

The S&P BSE Sensex is trading at 28,302 down 34 points, while NSE Nifty is trading at 8,755 down 14 points.

The BSE Mid-cap Index is trading up 0.19% at 13,576 whereas BSE Small-cap Index is trading up 0.33% at 13,253.

Asian Paints, HUL, SBI, Tata Motors and Maruti Suzuki are among the gainers, whereas ONGC, Bajaj Auto, M&M, Wipro and Infosys are losing sheen on BSE.

Some buying activity is seen in realty, metal, telecom, industrial, auto, FMCG and utilities sectors, while IT, teck, banking, finance, capital goods, pharma, energy and oil & gas are showing weakness on BSE.

The INDIA VIX is up 0.25% at 15.0300. Out of 1,870 stocks traded on the NSE, 672 declined, 844 advanced and 358 remained unchanged today.

A total of 92 stocks registered a fresh 52-week high in trades today, while eight stocks touched a new 52-week low on the NSE.

The rupee opened lower 16 paise at 66.62/$ against US Dollar Wednesday as against the previous close of 66.46/$.

Asian indices resumed trading in the red with the exception of the Japanese 'Nikkei" index which rallied as the yen weakened against the US$.
The latest round of pessimism now emanates from 65% probability of a US rate hike in December & unwinding of stimulus by the ECB. With the 'elexir' of cheap money seeming to be withdrawn caution seems the buzzword in most global equity markets. Weaker than expected macro numbers from Brazil & lowering of global growth targets by the IMF will be the other points of concern.

Wall Street closed lower on Tuesday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 85.40 points, or 0.5%, to close at 18,168.45.The S&P 500 Index declined 10.71 points, or 0.5% to 2,150.49, and the Nasdaq Composite index slipped 11.22 points, or 0.2% to 5,289.66.

Crude oil was unable to fight back above $50 on Tuesday amid signs of increased production from Iran and Libya.

On the economy front, RBI Governor in his debut policy cut rates to get the 'repo' @ 6.25% which is the lowest in the last 7 years. The RBI Governor, Urjit R. Patel said in the policy review that global growth has been slowing more than anticipated through 2016 so far, with weak investment and trade damping aggregate demand.

Nifty hits 8800 mark; Banking, Metal stocks lead

The S&P BSE Sensex is trading at 28,472 up 138 points, while NSE Nifty is trading at 8,806 up 37 points.

The rupee opened lower 16 paise at 66.62/$ against US Dollar Wednesday as against the previous close of 66.46/$.

Asian indices resumed trading in the red with the exception of the Japanese 'Nikkei" index which rallied as the yen weakened against the US$.

The latest round of pessimism now emanates from 65% probability of a US rate hike in December & unwinding of stimulus by the ECB. With the 'elexir' of cheap money seeming to be withdrawn caution seems the buzzword in most global equity markets. Weaker than expected macro numbers from Brazil & lowering of global growth targets by the IMF will be the other points of concern.

Wall Street closed lower on Tuesday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 85.40 points, or 0.5%, to close at 18,168.45.The S&P 500 Index declined 10.71 points, or 0.5% to 2,150.49, and the Nasdaq Composite index slipped 11.22 points, or 0.2% to 5,289.66.

Crude oil was unable to fight back above $50 on Tuesday amid signs of increased production from Iran and Libya.

On data front, Nikkei India Service PMI data is scheduled today.

On the economy front, RBI Governor in his debut policy cut rates to get the 'repo' @ 6.25% which is the lowest in the last 7 years. The RBI Governor, Urjit R. Patel said in the policy review that global growth has been slowing more than anticipated through 2016 so far, with weak investment and trade damping aggregate demand.